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HURRICANE JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1499
0900Z WED OCT 20 1999
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR...DOMINICA...GUADELOUPE
AND THE SURROUNDING ISLANDS...MONTSERRAT...ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...
NEVIS...ST. KITTS...ST EUSTATIUS...SABA...DUTCH ST MAARTEN...
ANGUILLA...THE BRITISH AND U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MARTINIQUE...FRENCH ST.
MARTIN AND ST. BARTHELEMY.
 
INTERESTS IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF JOSE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N  60.7W AT 20/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  977 MB
EYE DIAMETER  30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO  95 KT
64 KT....... 30NE  20SE   0SW   0NW
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  20SW  30NW
34 KT.......100NE 100SE  30SW  75NW
12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE  30SW  75NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N  60.7W AT 20/0900Z
AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  60.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 17.6N  62.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT
64 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW   0NW
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  30NW
34 KT...100NE 100SE  30SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 18.8N  63.8W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  60NW
34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW 100NW
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 20.0N  65.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.7N  60.7W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 21.5N  66.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 25.5N  68.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z
 
BEVEN
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT4 AND WMO HEADER WTNT74 KNHC.
 
 
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