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HURRICANE JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1499
2100Z WED OCT 20 1999
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MONTSERRAT...BARBUDA...
NEVIS...ST. KITTS...ST EUSTATIUS...SABA...DUTCH ST MAARTEN...
ANGUILLA... THE BRITISH AND U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR...FRENCH ST. MARTIN...ST.
BARTHELEMY.
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR ANTIGUA AND
DESIRADE HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N  62.4W AT 20/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  983 MB
EYE DIAMETER  30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  20SW  20NW
34 KT.......120NE 100SE  30SW  75NW
12 FT SEAS..180NE 100SE  30SW 100NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N  62.4W AT 20/2100Z
AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N  62.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 18.3N  63.6W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT
64 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  30NW
34 KT...120NE 100SE  30SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 19.5N  65.2W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT
64 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  30NW
34 KT...120NE 100SE  30SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 21.5N  66.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  40SW  75NW
34 KT...120NE 120SE  75SW 120NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N  62.4W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 23.5N  67.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 31.5N  66.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z
 
AVILA
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT4 AND WMO HEADER WTNT74 KNHC.
 
 
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