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TROPICAL STORM JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1499
1500Z THU OCT 21 1999
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BRITISH AND U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO.
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500 UTC...WARNINGS FOR ALL OTHER ISLANDS HAVE BEEN
DISCONTINUED.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N  65.1W AT 21/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT
50 KT....... 90NE   0SE   0SW   0NW
34 KT.......120NE 100SE  20SW  75NW
12 FT SEAS..180NE 100SE  30SW 100NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N  65.1W AT 21/1500Z
AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N  64.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 19.2N  66.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT
50 KT... 90NE   0SE   0SW   0NW
34 KT...120NE 100SE  20SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 20.6N  67.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT
50 KT... 90NE   0SE   0SW   0NW
34 KT...120NE 100SE  30SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 24.0N  67.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT
64 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW   0NW
50 KT... 90NE  75SE  25SW  25NW
34 KT...120NE 120SE  30SW  75NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.6N  65.1W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 29.0N  66.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT
50 KT... 90NE  75SE  25SW  25NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 41.0N  57.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT
50 KT... 90NE  75SE  25SW  25NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z
 
AVILA
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT4 AND WMO HEADER WTNT74 KNHC.
 
 
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