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TROPICAL STORM JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1499
2100Z THU OCT 21 1999
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED FOR
THE BRITISH AND U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO.  ALL INTERESTS
SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N  65.7W AT 21/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT
50 KT....... 90NE   0SE   0SW   0NW
34 KT.......120NE  75SE  20SW  75NW
12 FT SEAS..180NE 100SE  30SW 100NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N  65.7W AT 21/2100Z
AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.9N  65.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 20.2N  66.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT
50 KT... 90NE   0SE   0SW   0NW
34 KT...120NE  75SE  20SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 22.7N  67.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT
64 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW
50 KT...100NE 100SE  25SW  25NW
34 KT...150NE 150SE  50SW  50NW
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 26.0N  66.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT
64 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW
50 KT...100NE 100SE  25SW  25NW
34 KT...150NE 150SE  50SW  50NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.2N  65.7W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 30.0N  65.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT
50 KT...100NE 100SE  25SW  25NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 44.0N  55.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT
50 KT...100NE 100SE  25SW  25NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z
 
LAWRENCE
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT4 AND WMO HEADER WTNT74 KNHC.
 
 
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