HOME	ACTIVE CYCLONES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCMAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1499
0300Z FRI OCT 22 1999
 
ALL INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION 
UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE.
 
A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR BERMUDA
EARLY FRIDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N  66.2W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT
50 KT....... 90NE   0SE   0SW   0NW
34 KT.......120NE  75SE  20SW  75NW
12 FT SEAS..180NE 100SE  20SW 100NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N  66.2W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  65.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 21.2N  66.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT
50 KT... 90NE   0SE   0SW   0NW
34 KT...120NE  75SE  20SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 23.5N  67.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT
64 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW
50 KT...100NE 100SE  25SW  25NW
34 KT...150NE 150SE  50SW  50NW
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 27.0N  65.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT
64 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW
50 KT...100NE 100SE  25SW  25NW
34 KT...150NE 150SE  50SW  50NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.6N  66.2W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 31.5N  63.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT
50 KT...100NE 100SE  25SW  25NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 46.0N  53.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT
50 KT...100NE 100SE  25SW  25NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z
 
GUINEY
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT4 AND WMO HEADER WTNT74 KNHC.
 
NNNN