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TROPICAL STORM JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1499
1500Z FRI OCT 22 1999
 
ALL INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL
WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE.
 
A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR BERMUDA
LATER TODAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N  66.0W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT NEARLY STATIONARY
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT
50 KT....... 90NE   0SE   0SW   0NW
34 KT.......125NE  75SE   0SW 100NW
12 FT SEAS..180NE 100SE  30SW 100NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N  66.0W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.3N  66.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 21.0N  66.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT
50 KT... 90NE   0SE   0SW  50NW
34 KT...125NE  75SE  25SW 100NW
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 25.0N  65.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT
64 KT... 50NE  25SE  25SW  50NW
50 KT... 90NE  40SE  40SW  90NW
34 KT...150NE 150SE  75SW 125NW
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 30.0N  63.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT
64 KT... 50NE  25SE  25SW  50NW
50 KT... 90NE  40SE  40SW  90NW
34 KT...150NE 150SE  75SW 125NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N  66.0W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 37.0N  58.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT
50 KT... 90NE  40SE  40SW  90NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 51.0N  45.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT
50 KT... 90NE  40SE  40SW  90NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z
 
AVILA
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT4 AND WMO HEADER WTNT74 KNHC.
 
 
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