HOME	ACTIVE CYCLONES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCMAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1499
2100Z FRI OCT 22 1999
 
ALL INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL
WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE.
 
INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JOSE.
 
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N  65.7W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR  10 DEGREES AT 10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT
50 KT....... 90NE   0SE   0SW   0NW
34 KT.......125NE  75SE   0SW 100NW
12 FT SEAS..180NE 100SE  30SW 100NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N  65.7W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N  65.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 22.5N  65.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  70 KT
50 KT... 90NE   0SE   0SW  50NW
34 KT...125NE  75SE  25SW 100NW
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 26.0N  64.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT
64 KT... 50NE  25SE  25SW  50NW
50 KT... 90NE  40SE  40SW  90NW
34 KT...150NE 150SE  75SW 125NW
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 32.0N  61.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT
64 KT... 50NE  25SE  25SW  50NW
50 KT... 90NE  40SE  40SW  90NW
34 KT...150NE 150SE  75SW 125NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.2N  65.7W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 40.0N  55.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT
50 KT... 90NE  40SE  40SW  90NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 51.0N  44.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT
50 KT... 90NE  40SE  40SW  90NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z
 
AVILA
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT4 AND WMO HEADER WTNT74 KNHC.
 
 
NNNN