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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1599
0300Z FRI OCT 29 1999
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF COLOMBIA HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE SAN ANDRES ISLANDS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE EAST COAST
OF NICARAGUA.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.7N  81.7W AT 29/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.7N  81.7W AT 29/0300Z
AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.6N  81.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 11.8N  82.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 12.0N  83.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT
34 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 12.5N  85.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.7N  81.7W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 13.0N  87.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 14.5N  90.5W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z
 
FRANKLIN
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT5 AND WMO HEADER WTNT75 KNHC.
 
 
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