HOME	ACTIVE CYCLONES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1599
1500Z FRI OCT 29 1999
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED
FOR THE EAST COAST OF NICARAGUA SOUTH OF BLUEFIELDS...AND THE
SAN ANDRES ISLANDS OF COLOMBIA.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS
IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF NICARAGUA NORTH OF BLUEFIELDS TO
THE NICARAGUA/HONDURAS BORDER.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N  82.3W AT 29/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT  8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N  82.3W AT 29/1500Z
AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.7N  82.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 13.7N  83.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 14.4N  84.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 15.0N  85.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.0N  82.3W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 16.0N  86.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 17.5N  87.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z
 
GUINEY
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT5 AND WMO HEADER WTNT75 KNHC.
 
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