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TROPICAL DEPRESSION KATRINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1599
2100Z SUN OCT 31 1999

...CORRECTION TO WARNING SECTION...FRIDAY TO MONDAY...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WEST
FLORIDA COAST TONIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY.  ALL INTERESTS ELSEWHERE 
IN FLORIDA...AND THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD
CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N  89.4W AT 31/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT  8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N  89.4W AT 31/2100Z
AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.1N  89.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 20.6N  89.9W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 22.4N  89.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  25SW  25NW
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 25.0N  87.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  25SW  25NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.5N  89.4W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 27.5N  84.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 34.0N  71.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z
 
GUINEY
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT5 AND WMO HEADER WTNT75 KNHC.
 
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