HOME	ACTIVE CYCLONES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1699
1500Z SUN NOV 14 1999
  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N  79.5W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  50 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 100 DEGREES AT  7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N  79.5W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N  79.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 15.9N  78.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT
34 KT...      75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW
12 FT SEAS...125NE   0SE   0SW 125NW
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 16.2N  76.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 16.5N  74.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N  79.5W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 17.0N  71.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 18.0N  66.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z
 
LAWRENCE
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT1 AND WMO HEADER WTNT71 KNHC.
 
 
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