HOME	ACTIVE CYCLONES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCMAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM LENNY SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1699
1915Z SUN NOV 14 1999
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA WILL SOON ISSUE A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
AND A HURRICANE WATCH FOR JAMAICA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  79.3W AT 14/1915Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  90 DEGREES AT  5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW
34 KT....... 75NE  50SE  75SW  75NW
12 FT SEAS..125NE 125SE  75SW 125NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  79.3W AT 14/1915Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  79.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 16.5N  78.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 16.5N  76.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 16.7N  74.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
 
12 FT SEAS...125NE   0SE   0SW 125NW
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N  79.3W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 17.0N  71.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 18.5N  65.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z
 
LAWRENCE
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT1 AND WMO HEADER WTNT71 KNHC.
 
 
NNNN