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HURRICANE LENNY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1699
0300Z MON NOV 15 1999
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
JAMAICA.  A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF
HAITI.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N  78.3W AT 15/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  95 DEGREES AT  7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT
64 KT.......  0NE  20SE  20SW  20NW
50 KT....... 25NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
34 KT....... 40NE  60SE  60SW  75NW
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 100SW 150NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N  78.3W AT 15/0300Z
AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N  78.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 16.1N  77.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 16.4N  74.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS  95 KT
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 16.8N  72.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N  78.3W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 17.5N  70.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 19.0N  65.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS  95 KT
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z
 
PASCH
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT1 AND WMO HEADER WTNT71 KNHC.
 
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