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HURRICANE LENNY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1699
1500Z MON NOV 15 1999
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
JAMAICA.  THESE MAY BE LOWERED LATER TODAY.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF HAITI.  AT
NOON EST..1700Z....THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC WILL
ISSUE A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC FROM PERDENALES TO CABO ENGANO.  A HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE
REQUIRED FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS LATER TODAY.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N  76.2W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST SOUTHEAST OR 115 DEGREES AT  9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  971 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT
64 KT....... 15NE  20SE  20SW  20NW
50 KT....... 25NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
34 KT....... 40NE  60SE  60SW  75NW
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 100SW 150NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N  76.2W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N  76.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 15.0N  74.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 15.6N  72.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 16.4N  69.3W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N  76.2W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 17.5N  67.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 20.5N  62.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z
 
LAWRENCE
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT1 AND WMO HEADER WTNT71 KNHC.
 
 
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