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HURRICANE LENNY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1699
2100Z MON NOV 15 1999
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH COASTS OF HAITI
AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.  AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...A HURRICANE WATCH
IS ISSUED FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N  74.1W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  95 DEGREES AT 13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  984 MB
EYE DIAMETER  50 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  25SW   0NW
50 KT....... 75NE  50SE  50SW  25NW
34 KT.......100NE  75SE 125SW  50NW
12 FT SEAS..150NE 125SE 200SW 100NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N  74.1W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N  74.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 14.9N  72.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW   0NW
50 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  25NW
34 KT...100NE  75SE 125SW  50NW
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 15.7N  69.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW   0NW
50 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  25NW
34 KT...100NE  75SE 125SW  50NW
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 17.0N  68.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.9N  74.1W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 18.5N  66.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 20.5N  63.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z
 
LAWRENCE
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT1 AND WMO HEADER WTNT71 KNHC.
 
 
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