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HURRICANE LENNY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1699
0900Z TUE NOV 16 1999
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S.
AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN
EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO BEATA
TO CABO ENGANO.  A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH
COASTS OF HAITI AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.
 
HURRICANE WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE NECESSARY FOR PORTIONS OF THE
NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS LATER TODAY.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N  71.5W AT 16/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  85 DEGREES AT 13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  971 MB
EYE DIAMETER  45 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT
64 KT.......  0NE  45SE  45SW   0NW
50 KT....... 75NE  75SE  75SW  60NW
34 KT.......125NE 125SE 125SW  75NW
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 200SW 100NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N  71.5W AT 16/0900Z
AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N  72.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 15.7N  69.9W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT
64 KT... 30NE  45SE  45SW  30NW
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  60NW
34 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 17.0N  67.8W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT
64 KT... 30NE  45SE  45SW  30NW
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  60NW
34 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW  90NW
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 18.7N  65.8W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT
64 KT... 30NE  45SE  45SW  30NW
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  60NW
34 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW  90NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N  71.5W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 20.0N  64.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  60NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 22.5N  61.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  60NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z
 
BEVEN
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT1 AND WMO HEADER WTNT71 KNHC.
 
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