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HURRICANE LENNY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1699
2100Z THU NOV 18 1999
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE U.S.
AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR CULEBRA AND VIEQUES...HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR DUTCH ST. MAARTEN...
FRENCH ST. MARTIN...ST.BARTHELEMEY ...ANGUILLA...SABA...ST.
EUSTATIUS ...ST.KITTS...NEVIS...MONTSERRAT ...ANTIGUA...AND
BARBUDA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N  63.1W AT 18/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT NEARLY STATIONARY
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  966 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT
64 KT....... 40NE  50SE  40SW  40NW
50 KT....... 75NE 100SE  75SW  60NW
34 KT.......100NE 150SE 100SW  75NW
12 FT SEAS..150NE 300SE 300SW 150NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N  63.1W AT 18/2100Z
AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N  63.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 18.5N  62.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT
64 KT... 40NE  50SE  40SW  40NW
50 KT... 75NE 100SE  75SW  60NW
34 KT...100NE 150SE 100SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 19.0N  61.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT
64 KT... 40NE  50SE  40SW  40NW
50 KT... 75NE 100SE  75SW  60NW
34 KT...100NE 150SE 100SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 19.7N  60.3W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT
64 KT... 40NE  50SE  40SW  40NW
50 KT... 75NE 100SE  75SW  60NW
34 KT...100NE 150SE 100SW  75NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N  63.1W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 21.0N  59.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT
50 KT... 75NE 100SE  75SW  60NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 23.5N  57.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT
50 KT... 75NE 100SE  75SW  60NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z
 
AVILA
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT1 AND WMO HEADER WTNT71 KNHC.
 
 
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