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HURRICANE DORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP0799
1500Z WED AUG 11 1999

...CORRECTED FOR SEAS INITIAL POSITION...
  
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 124.4W AT 11/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  948 MB
EYE DIAMETER  13 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  60NW
34 KT....... 75NE  75SE  75SW  90NW
12 FT SEAS..200NE 150SE 150SW 200NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 124.4W AT 11/1500Z
AT 11/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 123.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 14.9N 126.2W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  60NW
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  90NW
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 15.0N 129.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  60NW
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  90NW
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 15.5N 132.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  60NW
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  90NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 124.4W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 15.5N 135.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 120 KT
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  60NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 15.5N 140.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  60NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/2100Z
 
FARRELL/AVILA
 
 
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