HOME	ACTIVE CYCLONES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIASPFAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM ARLENE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  11
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST MON JUN 14 1999
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF ARLENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  60.2 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST THU JUN 17 1999
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
29.7N  61.9W      50  X  X  X 50   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X  2  2
30.5N  62.8W      32  2  X  X 34   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X  3  3
31.5N  63.5W       9 11  2  1 23   NORFOLK VA         X  X  X  2  2
BERMUDA            X  8  7  3 18   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X  2  2
WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM TUE TO  2PM TUE
C FROM  2PM TUE TO  2AM WED
D FROM  2AM WED TO  2AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
BEVEN
 
 
NNNN