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TROPICAL STORM ARLENE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  15
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST TUE JUN 15 1999
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF ARLENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  61.7 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST FRI JUN 18 1999
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
30.4N  63.3W      57  X  X  X 57   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X  5  5
31.4N  64.3W      31  4  X  X 35   NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  4  4
33.0N  65.0W       3 13  5  1 22   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  4  4
BERMUDA           10 13  1  1 25   PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X  4  4
WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X  2  2   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X  4  4
MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X  3  3   HYANNIS MA         X  X  X  4  4
CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X  5  5   BOSTON MA          X  X  X  3  3
NORFOLK VA         X  X  X  4  4   PORTLAND ME        X  X  X  2  2
OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X  5  5
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM WED TO  2PM WED
C FROM  2PM WED TO  2AM THU
D FROM  2AM THU TO  2AM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
BEVEN/GUINEY
 
 
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