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ZCZC MIASPFAT1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM ARLENE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 18 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 PM AST TUE JUN 15 1999 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF ARLENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.0 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM AST FRI JUN 18 1999 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 31.1N 63.5W 50 X X X 50 PROVIDENCE RI X X X 6 6 32.2N 63.9W 31 3 X X 34 NANTUCKET MA X X X 6 6 33.5N 64.5W 7 13 2 1 23 HYANNIS MA X X X 6 6 BERMUDA 22 8 X 1 31 BOSTON MA X X X 5 5 MOREHEAD CITY NC X X X 2 2 PORTLAND ME X X X 4 4 CAPE HATTERAS NC X X X 3 3 BAR HARBOR ME X X X 3 3 NORFOLK VA X X X 3 3 EASTPORT ME X X X 3 3 OCEAN CITY MD X X X 4 4 ST JOHN NB X X X 2 2 ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X X 4 4 YARMOUTH NS X X X 4 4 NEW YORK CITY NY X X X 5 5 HALIFAX NS X X X 2 2 MONTAUK POINT NY X X X 6 6 SABLE ISLAND NS X X X 2 2 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM WED FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 8PM WED TO 8AM THU C FROM 8AM THU TO 8PM THU D FROM 8PM THU TO 8PM FRI E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM FRI X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT LAWRENCE NNNN