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TROPICAL STORM BRET PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT FRI AUG 20 1999
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF BRET WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  94.6 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1AM CDT MON AUG 23 1999
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
20.0N  95.0W      99  X  X  X 99   GALVESTON TX       X  X  X  5  5
20.3N  95.4W      99  X  X  X 99   FREEPORT TX        X  X  1  5  6
21.0N  96.0W      24  2  1  1 28   PORT O CONNOR TX   X  X  1  7  8
MMSO 238N 982W     X  2  6  7 15   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   X  X  2  7  9
MMTM 222N 979W     1  4  6  5 16   BROWNSVILLE TX     X  1  5  7 13
MMTX 210N 974W     4  6  4  4 18   GULF 28N 91W       X  X  X  2  2
MMVR 192N 961W    24  1  1  X 26   GULF 28N 93W       X  X  X  5  5
MMFR 185N 926W     6  4  2  1 13   GULF 28N 95W       X  X  1  7  8
MMMD 210N 897W     X  X  X  2  2   GULF 27N 96W       X  X  4  7 11
NEW IBERIA LA      X  X  X  2  2   GULF 25N 96W       X  4  7  5 16
PORT ARTHUR TX     X  X  X  3  3
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1AM SAT TO  1PM SAT
C FROM  1PM SAT TO  1AM SUN
D FROM  1AM SUN TO  1AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
JARVINEN
 
 
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