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HURRICANE BRET PROBABILITIES NUMBER  11
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT SAT AUG 21 1999
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF BRET WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  94.7 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1AM CDT TUE AUG 24 1999
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
24.5N  96.0W      50  X  X  X 50   GALVESTON TX       X  2  4  4 10
25.1N  96.8W      31  1  X  1 33   FREEPORT TX        X  5  4  4 13
25.5N  97.5W      17  7  1  1 26   PORT O CONNOR TX   1 10  3  3 17
MMSO 238N 982W     6  7  3  3 19   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   1 13  3  3 20
MMTM 222N 979W     2  4  4  4 14   BROWNSVILLE TX    15  9  1  1 26
MMTX 210N 974W     X  2  3  5 10   GULF 28N 91W       X  X  1  2  3
MMVR 192N 961W     X  X  1  4  5   GULF 28N 93W       X  2  3  3  8
MMFR 185N 926W     X  X  X  2  2   GULF 28N 95W       2  8  3  3 16
NEW IBERIA LA      X  X  X  3  3   GULF 27N 96W      12  8  2  1 23
PORT ARTHUR TX     X  X  2  5  7   GULF 25N 96W      46  X  X  X 46
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1AM SUN TO  1PM SUN
C FROM  1PM SUN TO  1AM MON
D FROM  1AM MON TO  1AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
JARVINEN
 
 
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