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ZCZC MIASPFAT3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE BRET PROBABILITIES NUMBER 17 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM CDT SUN AUG 22 1999 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF BRET WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.1 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 1PM CDT WED AUG 25 1999 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 27.5N 99.1W 53 X X X 53 FREEPORT TX 3 2 2 3 10 27.5N 100.0W 28 1 1 1 31 PORT O CONNOR TX 25 X 1 X 26 27.5N 100.5W 21 4 1 1 27 CORPUSCHRISTI TX 86 X X X 86 MMSO 238N 982W X 1 3 6 10 BROWNSVILLE TX 99 X X X 99 MMTM 222N 979W X X X 5 5 GULF 28N 93W X X 1 3 4 MMTX 210N 974W X X X 2 2 GULF 28N 95W 4 2 2 3 11 PORT ARTHUR TX X X X 3 3 GULF 27N 96W 99 X X X 99 GALVESTON TX 1 1 1 4 7 GULF 25N 96W 1 3 4 4 12 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1PM MON FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 1PM MON TO 1AM TUE C FROM 1AM TUE TO 1PM TUE D FROM 1PM TUE TO 1PM WED E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1PM WED X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT LAWRENCE NNNN