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TROPICAL STORM DENNIS PROBABILITIES NUMBER  45
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT FRI SEP 03 1999
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  74.3 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT MON SEP  6 1999
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
34.7N  76.0W      46  X  X  X 46   PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  1  5  6
36.3N  77.5W      15  8  X  1 24   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  1  4  5
37.5N  78.5W       1 12  3  2 18   HYANNIS MA         X  X  1  4  5
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  1  1  2   BOSTON MA          X  X  1  4  5
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  1  1  3  5   PORTLAND ME        X  X  X  3  3
SAVANNAH GA        X  4  3  2  9   BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  X  2  2
CHARLESTON SC      1 10  1  2 14   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  X  2  2
MYRTLE BEACH SC   12  7  1  X 20   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  X  2  2
WILMINGTON NC     27  1  1  X 29   ST MARKS FL        X  X  1  2  3
MOREHEAD CITY NC  40  X  X  X 40   APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  X  3  3
CAPE HATTERAS NC  35  X  X  X 35   PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  1  2  3
NORFOLK VA         9 10  1  1 21   PENSACOLA FL       X  X  X  3  3
OCEAN CITY MD      X  8  4  2 14   MOBILE AL          X  X  X  2  2
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  3  4  4 11   GULFPORT MS        X  X  X  2  2
NEW YORK CITY NY   X  1  3  5  9   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  X  2  2
MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  2  5  7
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM SAT TO  8AM SUN
C FROM  8AM SUN TO  8PM SUN
D FROM  8PM SUN TO  8PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
LAWRENCE
 
 
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