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ZCZC MIASPFAT3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE FLOYD PROBABILITIES NUMBER 21 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 PM AST SUN SEP 12 1999 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF FLOYD WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.2 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM AST WED SEP 15 1999 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 24.4N 72.7W 54 X X X 54 JACKSONVILLE FL X X 1 15 16 25.2N 75.2W 4 34 X X 38 SAVANNAH GA X X X 12 12 26.5N 77.5W X 9 19 1 29 CHARLESTON SC X X X 9 9 MUCM 214N 779W X X 2 2 4 MYRTLE BEACH SC X X X 6 6 MUCF 221N 805W X X 1 3 4 WILMINGTON NC X X X 3 3 MUHA 230N 824W X X X 4 4 KEY WEST FL X X 1 9 10 MBJT 215N 712W 8 1 X X 9 MARCO ISLAND FL X X 3 12 15 MYMM 224N 730W 19 6 X 1 26 FT MYERS FL X X 3 12 15 MYSM 241N 745W 13 25 X X 38 VENICE FL X X 1 14 15 MYEG 235N 758W X 23 2 X 25 TAMPA FL X X 1 15 16 MYAK 241N 776W X 8 12 1 21 CEDAR KEY FL X X X 15 15 MYNN 251N 775W X 12 14 1 27 ST MARKS FL X X X 12 12 MYGF 266N 787W X 2 20 3 25 APALACHICOLA FL X X X 10 10 MARATHON FL X X 4 8 12 PANAMA CITY FL X X X 9 9 MIAMI FL X X 10 8 18 PENSACOLA FL X X X 5 5 W PALM BEACH FL X X 13 8 21 MOBILE AL X X X 3 3 FT PIERCE FL X X 11 10 21 GULFPORT MS X X X 2 2 COCOA BEACH FL X X 7 13 20 GULF 29N 85W X X X 10 10 DAYTONA BEACH FL X X 3 15 18 GULF 29N 87W X X X 5 5 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM MON FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 2PM MON TO 2AM TUE C FROM 2AM TUE TO 2PM TUE D FROM 2PM TUE TO 2PM WED E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM WED X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT FRANKLIN NNNN