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ZCZC MIASPFAT3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE FLOYD PROBABILITIES NUMBER 25 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 PM AST MON SEP 13 1999 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF FLOYD WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.7 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM AST THU SEP 16 1999 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 26.2N 78.3W 51 X X X 51 WILMINGTON NC X X 3 15 18 28.4N 79.9W 5 31 X X 36 MOREHEAD CITY NC X X 1 15 16 30.9N 80.5W X 8 18 X 26 CAPE HATTERAS NC X X X 14 14 MYSM 241N 745W 99 X X X 99 NORFOLK VA X X X 13 13 MYEG 235N 758W 62 X X X 62 OCEAN CITY MD X X X 9 9 MYAK 241N 776W 44 X X X 44 ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X X 5 5 MYNN 251N 775W 59 X X X 59 NEW YORK CITY NY X X X 2 2 MYGF 266N 787W 44 3 X X 47 KEY WEST FL X 2 1 X 3 MARATHON FL 1 6 1 X 8 MARCO ISLAND FL X 12 1 X 13 MIAMI FL 10 16 X 1 27 FT MYERS FL X 12 3 X 15 W PALM BEACH FL 14 20 1 X 35 VENICE FL X 7 5 1 13 FT PIERCE FL 7 27 X X 34 TAMPA FL X 7 9 X 16 COCOA BEACH FL 2 29 1 X 32 CEDAR KEY FL X 2 13 X 15 DAYTONA BEACH FL X 19 8 1 28 ST MARKS FL X X 7 4 11 JACKSONVILLE FL X 4 18 1 23 APALACHICOLA FL X X 3 3 6 SAVANNAH GA X 1 16 5 22 PANAMA CITY FL X X 2 3 5 CHARLESTON SC X X 14 8 22 PENSACOLA FL X X X 2 2 MYRTLE BEACH SC X X 8 12 20 GULF 29N 85W X X 3 2 5 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM TUE FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 2PM TUE TO 2AM WED C FROM 2AM WED TO 2PM WED D FROM 2PM WED TO 2PM THU E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM THU X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT LAWRENCE NNNN