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TROPICAL STORM GERT PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM AST SUN SEP 12 1999
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF GERT WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  32.8 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST WED SEP 15 1999
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
14.2N  39.0W      46  2  X  X 48   14.5N  45.0W       X  5 15  2 22
14.3N  42.5W       X 29  1  X 30
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM MON TO  8PM MON
C FROM  8PM MON TO  8AM TUE
D FROM  8AM TUE TO  8AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
AVILA
 
 
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