HOME	ACTIVE CYCLONES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIASPFAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM GERT PROBABILITIES NUMBER   6
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST SUN SEP 12 1999
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF GERT WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  34.7 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST WED SEP 15 1999
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
15.0N  41.0W      43  2  X  X 45   15.5N  47.5W       X  1 21  1 23
15.0N  44.0W       X 29  1  X 30
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM MON TO  2AM TUE
C FROM  2AM TUE TO  2PM TUE
D FROM  2PM TUE TO  2PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
AVILA
 
 
NNNN