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HURRICANE GERT PROBABILITIES NUMBER  10
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST MON SEP 13 1999
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF GERT WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  41.6 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST THU SEP 16 1999
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
16.0N  47.5W      44  1  X  1 46   TDPR 153N 614W     X  X  X  7  7
16.3N  50.5W       X 29  1  X 30   TFFR 163N 615W     X  X  X  8  8
16.5N  53.0W       X  5 16  1 22   TAPA 171N 618W     X  X  X  8  8
TTPT 112N 608W     X  X  X  3  3   TKPK 173N 627W     X  X  X  6  6
TGPY 120N 618W     X  X  X  2  2   TNCM 181N 631W     X  X  X  6  6
TBPB 131N 595W     X  X  X  8  8   TISX 177N 648W     X  X  X  2  2
TVSV 131N 612W     X  X  X  5  5   TIST 183N 650W     X  X  X  2  2
TLPL 138N 610W     X  X  X  6  6   ST CROIX VI        X  X  X  2  2
TFFF 146N 610W     X  X  X  7  7   ST THOMAS VI       X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM TUE TO  2AM WED
C FROM  2AM WED TO  2PM WED
D FROM  2PM WED TO  2PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
AVILA
 
 
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