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ZCZC MIASPFAT4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE GERT PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 PM AST TUE SEP 14 1999 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF GERT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 46.5 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM AST FRI SEP 17 1999 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 18.0N 51.0W 51 X X X 51 TKPK 173N 627W X X X 10 10 18.5N 53.4W 2 29 X X 31 TNCM 181N 631W X X X 10 10 19.0N 56.0W X 10 12 1 23 TISX 177N 648W X X X 6 6 TBPB 131N 595W X X X 3 3 TIST 183N 650W X X X 6 6 TVSV 131N 612W X X X 2 2 TJPS 180N 666W X X X 2 2 TLPL 138N 610W X X X 4 4 TJSJ 184N 661W X X X 4 4 TFFF 146N 610W X X X 6 6 ST CROIX VI X X X 6 6 TDPR 153N 614W X X X 7 7 ST THOMAS VI X X X 6 6 TFFR 163N 615W X X 1 9 10 SAN JUAN PR X X X 4 4 TAPA 171N 618W X X 1 10 11 PONCE PR X X X 2 2 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM WED FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 2PM WED TO 2AM THU C FROM 2AM THU TO 2PM THU D FROM 2PM THU TO 2PM FRI E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM FRI X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT FRANKLIN NNNN