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HURRICANE GERT PROBABILITIES NUMBER  21
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM AST THU SEP 16 1999
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF GERT WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  52.9 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST SUN SEP 19 1999
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
19.5N  55.5W      44  X  X  X 44   TKPK 173N 627W     X  X  1  1  2
20.5N  57.0W      19  9  X  1 29   TNCM 181N 631W     X  X  1  2  3
22.5N  58.5W       1 14  8  2 25   BERMUDA            X  X  X  4  4
TAPA 171N 618W     X  X  1  2  3
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM FRI TO  8PM FRI
C FROM  8PM FRI TO  8AM SAT
D FROM  8AM SAT TO  8AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
AVILA
 
 
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