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HURRICANE GERT PROBABILITIES NUMBER  22
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST THU SEP 16 1999
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF GERT WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  53.9 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST SUN SEP 19 1999
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
20.5N  57.0W      51  X  X  X 51   TNCM 181N 631W     X  X  1  1  2
22.0N  58.5W      22  9  1  X 32   BERMUDA            X  X  X  2  2
23.5N  60.0W       1 17  5  1 24
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM FRI TO  2AM SAT
C FROM  2AM SAT TO  2PM SAT
D FROM  2PM SAT TO  2PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
AVILA
 
 
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