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ZCZC MIASPFAT4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE GERT PROBABILITIES NUMBER 38 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 PM AST MON SEP 20 1999 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF GERT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.9 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM AST THU SEP 23 1999 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 31.8N 63.6W 51 X X X 51 SABLE ISLAND NS X X X 13 13 34.2N 62.6W 6 22 2 X 30 SYDNEY NS X X X 10 10 37.7N 60.1W X X 15 5 20 EDDY POINT NS X X X 10 10 BERMUDA 33 6 X X 39 PTX BASQUES NFLD X X X 9 9 EASTPORT ME X X X 2 2 BURGEO NFLD X X X 10 10 ST JOHN NB X X X 3 3 ILE ST PIERRE X X X 11 11 MONCTON NB X X X 4 4 CAPE RACE NFLD X X X 11 11 YARMOUTH NS X X X 4 4 HIBERNIA OILFLD X X X 7 7 HALIFAX NS X X X 8 8 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM TUE FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 2PM TUE TO 2AM WED C FROM 2AM WED TO 2PM WED D FROM 2PM WED TO 2PM THU E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM THU X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT GROSS NNNN