HOME	ACTIVE CYCLONES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIASPFAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE GERT PROBABILITIES NUMBER  43
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM AST TUE SEP 21 1999
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF GERT WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 35.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  60.8 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST FRI SEP 24 1999
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
42.0N  57.0W      16  4  X  X 20   EDDY POINT NS      1  7  1  X  9
46.0N  54.0W       X 11  2  X 13   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  8  2  X 10
49.2N  50.0W       X  2  7  2 11   BURGEO NFLD        X  9  2  X 11
MONCTON NB         X  2  1  X  3   ILE ST PIERRE      X 11  1  1 13
HALIFAX NS         1  4  X  X  5   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  9  3  1 13
SABLE ISLAND NS    6  7  X  X 13   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  2  6  2 10
SYDNEY NS          1  8  1  X 10
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM WED TO  8AM THU
C FROM  8AM THU TO  8PM THU
D FROM  8PM THU TO  8PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
LAWRENCE
 
 
NNNN