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ZCZC MIASPFAT3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM IRENE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 AM EDT WED OCT 13 1999 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF IRENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.5 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM EDT SAT OCT 16 1999 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 20.0N 84.5W 57 X X X 57 SAVANNAH GA X X X 4 4 21.5N 84.5W 31 4 X X 35 CHARLESTON SC X X X 2 2 23.0N 84.5W 5 19 2 1 27 KEY WEST FL X X 6 8 14 MKJS 185N 779W X X X 2 2 MARCO ISLAND FL X X 2 10 12 MWCG 193N 814W 5 4 1 2 12 FT MYERS FL X X 2 10 12 MUCM 214N 779W X X X 3 3 VENICE FL X X 2 11 13 MUCF 221N 805W X X 4 6 10 TAMPA FL X X 1 10 11 MUSN 216N 826W 8 9 2 2 21 CEDAR KEY FL X X X 10 10 MUHA 230N 824W X 7 7 3 17 ST MARKS FL X X X 9 9 MUAN 219N 850W 23 10 X X 33 APALACHICOLA FL X X 1 9 10 MMCZ 205N 869W 5 7 2 2 16 PANAMA CITY FL X X 1 9 10 MHNJ 165N 859W X X X 2 2 PENSACOLA FL X X X 8 8 MYAK 241N 776W X X X 4 4 MOBILE AL X X X 7 7 MYNN 251N 775W X X X 4 4 GULFPORT MS X X X 6 6 MYGF 266N 787W X X X 5 5 BURAS LA X X X 6 6 MMMD 210N 897W X X 1 3 4 NEW ORLEANS LA X X X 5 5 MARATHON FL X X 3 9 12 NEW IBERIA LA X X X 2 2 MIAMI FL X X 1 8 9 GULF 29N 85W X X 2 10 12 W PALM BEACH FL X X X 8 8 GULF 29N 87W X X 2 9 11 FT PIERCE FL X X X 8 8 GULF 28N 89W X X 2 7 9 COCOA BEACH FL X X X 8 8 GULF 28N 91W X X X 5 5 DAYTONA BEACH FL X X X 7 7 GULF 28N 93W X X X 2 2 JACKSONVILLE FL X X X 6 6 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM THU FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 8AM THU TO 8PM THU C FROM 8PM THU TO 8AM FRI D FROM 8AM FRI TO 8AM SAT E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM SAT X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT AVILA NNNN