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ZCZC MIASPFAT3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM IRENE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 PM EDT WED OCT 13 1999 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF IRENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.5 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM EDT SAT OCT 16 1999 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 23.3N 83.5W 33 1 X X 34 SAVANNAH GA X X 1 6 7 24.5N 83.4W 16 5 1 1 23 CHARLESTON SC X X X 4 4 26.0N 83.0W 2 11 4 2 19 MYRTLE BEACH SC X X X 3 3 MKJS 185N 779W X X X 2 2 WILMINGTON NC X X X 2 2 MWCG 193N 814W 1 2 1 2 6 KEY WEST FL 5 8 3 2 18 MUCM 214N 779W X X 1 3 4 MARCO ISLAND FL X 7 6 3 16 MUCF 221N 805W 7 3 1 2 13 FT MYERS FL X 5 7 4 16 MUSN 216N 826W 99 X X X 99 VENICE FL X 6 7 3 16 MUHA 230N 824W 25 1 X X 26 TAMPA FL X 2 8 5 15 MUAN 219N 850W 31 X X X 31 CEDAR KEY FL X 1 7 5 13 MMCZ 205N 869W X X 1 3 4 ST MARKS FL X X 6 6 12 MYSM 241N 745W X X X 2 2 APALACHICOLA FL X 1 7 5 13 MYEG 235N 758W X X X 3 3 PANAMA CITY FL X 1 6 5 12 MYAK 241N 776W X X 1 5 6 PENSACOLA FL X X 4 5 9 MYNN 251N 775W X X 1 5 6 MOBILE AL X X 2 5 7 MYGF 266N 787W X X 2 6 8 GULFPORT MS X X 1 5 6 MARATHON FL 1 7 4 3 15 BURAS LA X X 1 5 6 MIAMI FL X 2 6 4 12 NEW ORLEANS LA X X X 4 4 W PALM BEACH FL X 1 5 5 11 NEW IBERIA LA X X X 2 2 FT PIERCE FL X X 5 6 11 GULF 29N 85W X 3 7 4 14 COCOA BEACH FL X X 5 6 11 GULF 29N 87W X 2 5 5 12 DAYTONA BEACH FL X X 4 7 11 GULF 28N 89W X X 3 4 7 JACKSONVILLE FL X X 3 7 10 GULF 28N 91W X X X 3 3 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM THU FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 8PM THU TO 8AM FRI C FROM 8AM FRI TO 8PM FRI D FROM 8PM FRI TO 8PM SAT E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM SAT X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT PASCH NNNN