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HURRICANE IRENE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   6
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT THU OCT 14 1999
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF IRENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  82.3 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT SUN OCT 17 1999
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
25.0N  81.7W      37  1  X  X 38   NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  3  3
27.0N  81.5W       8 17  1  X 26   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  2  2
29.0N  81.3W       X 10  8  2 20   PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X  2  2
MUCF 221N 805W    27  X  X  X 27   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X  2  2
MUSN 216N 826W    99  X  X  X 99   KEY WEST FL       45  X  X  X 45
MUHA 230N 824W    99  X  X  X 99   MARCO ISLAND FL   25  6  X  X 31
MUAN 219N 850W     1  X  1  2  4   FT MYERS FL       16 12  1  X 29
MYAK 241N 776W     2  4  X  1  7   VENICE FL          9 16  1  1 27
MYNN 251N 775W     1  4  2  2  9   TAMPA FL           2 18  2  1 23
MYGF 266N 787W     1 10  3  1 15   CEDAR KEY FL       X 11  7  2 20
MARATHON FL       38  X  X  X 38   ST MARKS FL        X  3 10  4 17
MIAMI FL          18  7  X  1 26   APALACHICOLA FL    X  4  8  4 16
W PALM BEACH FL    6 14  1  1 22   PANAMA CITY FL     X  2  8  5 15
FT PIERCE FL       2 15  3  1 21   PENSACOLA FL       X  X  5  6 11
COCOA BEACH FL     X 14  5  1 20   MOBILE AL          X  X  2  7  9
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  8  9  2 19   GULFPORT MS        X  X  1  7  8
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  2 11  4 17   BURAS LA           X  X  1  6  7
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  7  8 15   NEW ORLEANS LA     X  X  X  6  6
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  4  9 13   NEW IBERIA LA      X  X  X  4  4
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  1 11 12   PORT ARTHUR TX     X  X  X  2  2
WILMINGTON NC      X  X  1 10 11   GULF 29N 85W       X  7  7  3 17
MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X  9  9   GULF 29N 87W       X  1  7  5 13
CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X  8  8   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  2  6  8
NORFOLK VA         X  X  X  7  7   GULF 28N 91W       X  X  X  5  5
OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X  5  5   GULF 28N 93W       X  X  X  3  3
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X  4  4
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM FRI TO  2AM SAT
C FROM  2AM SAT TO  2PM SAT
D FROM  2PM SAT TO  2PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
AVILA
 
 
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