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HURRICANE IRENE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  17
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SUN OCT 17 1999
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF IRENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  79.9 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT WED OCT 20 1999
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
34.8N  77.4W      32 10  X  X 42   PROVIDENCE RI      X  4  7  X 11
39.0N  70.5W       X  9  7  X 16   NANTUCKET MA       X  4  8  X 12
44.0N  61.0W       X  X  5  X  5   HYANNIS MA         X  3  8  X 11
JACKSONVILLE FL   75  X  X  X 75   BOSTON MA          X  2  7  X  9
SAVANNAH GA       55  X  X  X 55   PORTLAND ME        X  1  6  X  7
CHARLESTON SC     53  X  X  X 53   BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  7  X  7
MYRTLE BEACH SC   49  1  X  X 50   EASTPORT ME        X  X  6  X  6
WILMINGTON NC     40  6  X  X 46   ST JOHN NB         X  X  6  X  6
MOREHEAD CITY NC  24 15  X  X 39   MONCTON NB         X  X  5  X  5
CAPE HATTERAS NC   7 23  X  X 30   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  8  X  8
NORFOLK VA         2 21  1  X 24   HALIFAX NS         X  X  6  X  6
OCEAN CITY MD      X 16  1  X 17   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  4  X  4
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X 11  2  X 13   SYDNEY NS          X  X  2  X  2
NEW YORK CITY NY   X  8  3  X 11   EDDY POINT NS      X  X  4  X  4
MONTAUK POINT NY   X  6  6  X 12
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM MON TO  2PM MON
C FROM  2PM MON TO  2AM TUE
D FROM  2AM TUE TO  2AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
BEVEN/GUINEY
 
 
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