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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST SUN OCT 17 1999
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 10.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  51.5 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST WED OCT 20 1999
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
10.5N  55.3W      53  X  X  X 53   TFFR 163N 615W     X  X  3 11 14
11.0N  57.5W       3 29  X  X 32   TAPA 171N 618W     X  X  1 11 12
12.0N  60.0W       X  9 15  1 25   TKPK 173N 627W     X  X  X 11 11
TNCC 122N 690W     X  X  X  4  4   TNCM 181N 631W     X  X  X  9  9
SVMG 110N 640W     X  X  4 10 14   TISX 177N 648W     X  X  X 10 10
TTPP 106N 614W     X  2 14  2 18   TIST 183N 650W     X  X  X  8  8
TTPT 112N 608W     X  4 16  2 22   TJPS 180N 666W     X  X  X  7  7
TGPY 120N 618W     X  1 15  4 20   TJSJ 184N 661W     X  X  X  6  6
TBPB 131N 595W     X  7 15  2 24   ST CROIX VI        X  X  X 10 10
TVSV 131N 612W     X  1 16  4 21   ST THOMAS VI       X  X  X  8  8
TLPL 138N 610W     X  1 14  5 20   SAN JUAN PR        X  X  X  6  6
TFFF 146N 610W     X  X 11  7 18   PONCE PR           X  X  X  7  7
TDPR 153N 614W     X  X  7  9 16
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM MON TO  2AM TUE
C FROM  2AM TUE TO  2PM TUE
D FROM  2PM TUE TO  2PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
AVILA
 
 
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