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TROPICAL DEPRESSION KATRINA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  11
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 AM EST SUN OCT 31 1999
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 4 AM EST...0900Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  88.4 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1AM EST WED NOV  3 1999
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
24.1N  89.0W      34  2  X  X 36   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X  8  8
26.9N  87.3W       1 23  2  1 27   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X  7  7
29.4N  84.5W       X  1 16  2 19   NORFOLK VA         X  X  X  6  6
MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  1  2  3   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X  4  4
MUSN 216N 826W     X  X  1  2  3   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X  3  3
MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  3  3  6   NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  2  2
MUAN 219N 850W     1  3  2  1  7   KEY WEST FL        X  X  5  4  9
MMCZ 205N 869W    20  X  X  X 20   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  7  5 12
MZBZ 175N 883W    99  X  X  X 99   FT MYERS FL        X  X  8  5 13
MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  X  2  2   VENICE FL          X  X 11  4 15
MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  X  2  2   TAMPA FL           X  X 11  5 16
MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  X  4  4   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X 12  5 17
MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  X  5  5   ST MARKS FL        X  X 14  4 18
MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  1  8  9   APALACHICOLA FL    X  1 16  2 19
MMMD 210N 897W    62  X  X  X 62   PANAMA CITY FL     X  1 16  2 19
MARATHON FL        X  X  4  5  9   PENSACOLA FL       X  2 14  1 17
MIAMI FL           X  X  3  7 10   MOBILE AL          X  2 12  1 15
W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  3  8 11   GULFPORT MS        X  4  9  1 14
FT PIERCE FL       X  X  3  9 12   BURAS LA           X  9  7  X 16
COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  4  9 13   NEW ORLEANS LA     X  4  7  X 11
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  5 10 15   NEW IBERIA LA      X  2  2  1  5
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  5 10 15   GULF 29N 85W       X  2 17  1 20
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  2 12 14   GULF 29N 87W       X  8 13  1 22
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X 12 12   GULF 28N 89W       X 19  3  1 23
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X 11 11   GULF 28N 91W       X 12  2  X 14
WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X 10 10   GULF 28N 93W       X  2  1  X  3
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1AM MON TO  1PM MON
C FROM  1PM MON TO  1AM TUE
D FROM  1AM TUE TO  1AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
JARVINEN
 
 
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