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TROPICAL DEPRESSION KATRINA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 AM EST MON NOV 01 1999
 
...CORRECTION FOR INITIAL POSITION...
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 10 AM EST...1500Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 20.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  89.5 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL
MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  7AM EST THU NOV  4 1999
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
22.6N  86.2W      34  1  X  X 35   MIAMI FL           X  7  X  X  7
23.5N  83.5W       7 17  X  X 24   W PALM BEACH FL    X  4  X  X  4
MUCF 221N 805W     X  6  X  X  6   FT PIERCE FL       X  3  X  X  3
MUSN 216N 826W     2 14  X  X 16   COCOA BEACH FL     X  2  X  X  2
MUHA 230N 824W     2 18  X  X 20   KEY WEST FL        X 17  X  X 17
MUAN 219N 850W    25  4  X  X 29   MARCO ISLAND FL    X 11  X  X 11
MMCZ 205N 869W    37  X  X  X 37   FT MYERS FL        X  8  X  X  8
MYGF 266N 787W     X  2  X  X  2   VENICE FL          X  6  X  X  6
MMMD 210N 897W    99  X  X  X 99   TAMPA FL           X  3  X  X  3
MARATHON FL        X 13  X  X 13
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  7AM TUE TO  7PM TUE
C FROM  7PM TUE TO  7AM WED
D FROM  7AM WED TO  7AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
GUINEY
 
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