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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEST PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 PM EST SAT NOV 13 1999
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 4 PM EST...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  81.5 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1PM EST TUE NOV 16 1999
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
15.7N  80.0W      46  X  X  X 46   MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  1  5  6
15.8N  78.8W      26  2  1  X 29   MUSN 216N 826W     X  X  1  3  4
16.0N  77.5W       6 11  3  2 22   MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  X  2  2
SKPG 125N 717W     X  X  X  8  8   MNPC 141N 834W     X  1  1  1  3
TNCC 122N 690W     X  X  X  4  4   SKSP 126N 817W     X  X  2  1  3
TJPS 180N 666W     X  X  X  2  2   TJSJ 184N 661W     X  X  X  2  2
MDSD 185N 697W     X  X  X  7  7   MDPP 198N 707W     X  X  X  7  7
MDCB 176N 714W     X  X  X 10 10   MBJT 215N 712W     X  X  X  5  5
MTPP 186N 724W     X  X  X 11 11   MYMM 224N 730W     X  X  X  6  6
MTCA 183N 738W     X  X  1 12 13   MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  X  4  4
MKJP 179N 768W     X  2  9  6 17   MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  X  5  5
MKJS 185N 779W     X  4  8  5 17   MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  X  4  4
MWCG 193N 814W     X  5  5  2 12   MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  X  2  2
MUGM 200N 751W     X  X  1 11 12   SAN JUAN PR        X  X  X  2  2
MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  1  8  9   PONCE PR           X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1PM SUN TO  1AM MON
C FROM  1AM MON TO  1PM MON
D FROM  1PM MON TO  1PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
LAWRENCE
 
 
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