HOME	ACTIVE CYCLONES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIASPFAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM LENNY SPECIAL PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
215 PM EST SUN NOV 14 1999
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 215 PM EST...1915Z...THE CENTER OF LENNY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  79.3 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1PM EST WED NOV 17 1999
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
16.5N  76.6W      32  4  X  X 36   MDSD 185N 697W     X  X  9  8 17
16.7N  74.0W       2 25  1  1 29   MDCB 176N 714W     X  5 13  3 21
17.0N  71.3W       X  6 14  2 22   MTPP 186N 724W     X  4  9  4 17
SKPG 125N 717W     X  X  4  5  9   MTCA 183N 738W     1 11  4  2 18
TNCC 122N 690W     X  X  X  6  6   MKJP 179N 768W    19  4  X  X 23
TVSV 131N 612W     X  X  X  2  2   MKJS 185N 779W    12  2  X  X 14
TLPL 138N 610W     X  X  X  3  3   MUGM 200N 751W     X  1  1  4  6
TFFF 146N 610W     X  X  X  4  4   TJSJ 184N 661W     X  X  1 13 14
TDPR 153N 614W     X  X  X  5  5   MDPP 198N 707W     X  X  4  8 12
TFFR 163N 615W     X  X  X  7  7   MBJT 215N 712W     X  X  X  6  6
TAPA 171N 618W     X  X  X  8  8   MYMM 224N 730W     X  X  X  3  3
TKPK 173N 627W     X  X  X  9  9   ST CROIX VI        X  X  X 12 12
TNCM 181N 631W     X  X  X 10 10   ST THOMAS VI       X  X  1 11 12
TISX 177N 648W     X  X  X 12 12   SAN JUAN PR        X  X  1 13 14
TIST 183N 650W     X  X  1 11 12   PONCE PR           X  X  2 13 15
TJPS 180N 666W     X  X  2 13 15
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1PM MON TO  1AM TUE
C FROM  1AM TUE TO  1PM TUE
D FROM  1PM TUE TO  1PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
LAWRENCE
 
 
NNNN