HOME	ACTIVE CYCLONES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIASPFAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE LENNY PROBABILITIES NUMBER  18
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST WED NOV 17 1999
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF LENNY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  64.3 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST SAT NOV 20 1999
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
19.7N  62.3W      33  X  X  1 34   TIST 183N 650W    99  X  X  X 99
21.0N  61.5W      15  6  2  1 24   TJPS 180N 666W     X  4  2  3  9
22.5N  60.5W       1 11  4  3 19   MDSD 185N 697W     X  X  1  2  3
TFFF 146N 610W     X  1  X  1  2   TJSJ 184N 661W     2  4  3  2 11
TDPR 153N 614W     1  1  2  1  5   MDPP 198N 707W     X  X  X  3  3
TFFR 163N 615W     6  3  1  1 11   MBJT 215N 712W     X  X  X  3  3
TAPA 171N 618W    19  1  1  X 21   ST CROIX VI       99  X  X  X 99
TKPK 173N 627W    41  X  X  X 41   ST THOMAS VI      99  X  X  X 99
TNCM 181N 631W    58  X  X  X 58   SAN JUAN PR        2  4  3  2 11
TISX 177N 648W    99  X  X  X 99   PONCE PR           X  4  2  3  9
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM THU TO  2AM FRI
C FROM  2AM FRI TO  2PM FRI
D FROM  2PM FRI TO  2PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
AVILA
 
 
NNNN