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HURRICANE BRET INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  16B
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 PM CDT SUN AUG 22 1999
 
...DANGEROUS BRET NEARING THE SOUTH TEXAS COAST...ALL
PREPARATIONS IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE COMPLETE...

HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM LA PESCA MEXICO TO PORT
OCONNOR TEXAS.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH
REMAIN IN EFFECT ALONG THE TEXAS COAST FROM EAST OF PORT OCONNOR TO
FREEPORT.

AT 2 PM CDT...1900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BRET WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 26.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  96.9 WEST.  THIS POSITION IS
ABOUT 60 MILES NORTHEAST OF BROWNSVILLE AND ABOUT 90 MILES SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF CORPUS CHRISTI AND ABOUT 25 MILES DUE EAST OF PADRE
ISLAND TEXAS.
 
BRET IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 8 MPH AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 140 MPH...220 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME FLUCTUATION IN WIND SPEED IS LIKELY BEFORE
LANDFALL.  BRET IS A DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. 
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  35 MILES... 55 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 105 MILES...165 KM.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  945 MB...27.91 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO 8 TO 12 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE PATH
OF THE HURRICANE.  EVEN HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE DEPENDING ON THE
SPEED OF MOTION OF THE HURRICANE.  BANDS OF RAIN ARE NOW MOVING
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA.
 
ONSHORE WINDS NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE
COAST ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE STORM SURGE COASTAL FLOODING OF UP TO
10 TO 15 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL TIDE LEVELS...WITH HIGHER
VALUES AT THE HEADS OF BAYS.
 
THERE IS A RISK OF ISOLATED TORNADOS OVER THE MID TEXAS COASTAL
AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND OVER SOUTH TEXAS TONIGHT.
 
FOR LOCAL INFORMATION...SEE STATEMENTS BEING ISSUED THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN YOUR LOCAL AREA.
 
REPEATING THE 2 PM CDT POSITION...26.6 N... 96.9 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...140
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 945 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
4 PM CDT.
 
LAWRENCE
  
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