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TROPICAL STORM IRENE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 1A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 PM EDT WED OCT 13 1999

...AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE FINDS IRENE FARTHER NORTH THAN
PREVIOUSLY INDICATED...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. 

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF PINAR DEL RIO
...HAVANA...CIUDAD HAVANA AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH CUBA.
 
AT 2 PM EDT...1800Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF IRENE WAS LOCATED
BY AN AIR FORCE PLANE NEAR LATITUDE 19.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  83.4
WEST ABOUT 140 MILES...225 KM...WEST OF GRAND CAYMAN OR ABOUT 265
MILES...425 KM  SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF HAVANA CUBA.  THIS POSITION IS A
LITTLE FARTHER TO THE NORTH THAN PREVIOUSLY ESTIMATED.
 
TAKING INTO ACCOUNT THE RELOCATION OF THE CENTER...IT IS NOW
ESTIMATED THAT IRENE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH...ABOUT 10 MPH
...16 KM/HR.   THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. 
 
PRELIMINARY REPORTS FROM THE AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE INDICATE
THAT IRENE IS STILL POORLY ORGANIZED AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
REMAIN NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  HOWEVER...IRENE
IS EXPECTED TO REACH HURRICANE STRENGTH IN A DAY OR TWO.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM...
PRIMARILY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.
 
SQUALLS AND GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE SPREADING NORTHWARD OVER THE
CAYMAN ISLANDS...PORTIONS OF CUBA...THE FLORIDA STRAITS AND WILL
BEGIN TO SPREAD OVER THE KEYS. 

ALL INTERESTS IN FLORIDA...ESPECIALLY SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE KEYS... 
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IRENE.
 
REPEATING THE 2 PM EDT POSITION...19.7 N... 83.4 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH  10 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH.  MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 PM EDT. 
 
AVILA
 
 
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