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TROPICAL STORM IRENE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   3A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 AM EDT THU OCT 14 1999

...IRENE APPROACHING WESTERN CUBA...AND A THREAT TO FLORIDA...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN CUBA INCLUDING 
THE PROVINCES OF PINAR DEL RIO...HAVANA...CIUDAD HAVANA...MATANZAS
AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER AND MIDDLE FLORIDA KEYS
WEST OF CRAIG KEY AND FOR THE DRY TORTUGAS.

INTERESTS IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF IRENE.  ADDITIONAL WATCHES...OR WARNINGS...MAY BE
REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF FLORIDA LATER TODAY.
 
AT 2 AM EDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IRENE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 21.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  83.5 WEST OR ABOUT 135 MILES
...220 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF HAVANA CUBA.
 
IRENE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 7  MPH...13 KM/HR AND A
SLOWING OF THE FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24
HOURS.  ON THIS TRACK...IRENE WILL CROSS WESTERN CUBA LATER TODAY. 
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR  65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS.  CONDITIONS FAVOR ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING AND IRENE
IS LIKELY TO BECOME A HURRICANE BY THE TIME IT REACHES WESTERN CUBA.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM
MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  999 MB...29.50 INCHES.
 
HEAVY RAINS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE PATH OF IRENE.
 
REPEATING THE 2 AM EDT POSITION...21.3 N... 83.5 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR  7 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 65 MPH. 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 999 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER 
AT 5 AM EDT.
 
GUINEY

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