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HURRICANE IRENE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   4A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 AM EDT THU OCT 14 1999
 
...IRENE DRIFTING NORTHWARD TOWARD WESTERN CUBA...A THREAT TO
FLORIDA...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN CUBA INCLUDING THE
PROVINCES OF PINAR DEL RIO...HAVANA...CIUDAD HAVANA...MATANZAS AND
THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER AND MIDDLE FLORIDA
KEYS WEST OF CRAIG KEY AND FOR THE DRY TORTUGAS...AND A HURRICANE OR
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED LATER THIS MORNING.
 
INTERESTS IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD CONTINUE TO CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IRENE.  A HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED
FOR A PORTION OF THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF FLORIDA LATER TODAY.

AT 8 AM EDT...1200 UTC A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.

RADARS FROM CUBA AND KEY WEST SUGGEST THAT AT 8 AM EDT...1200Z...
THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRENE WAS NEAR LATITUDE 21.6 NORTH...
LONGITUDE  83.5 WEST OR ABOUT 125 MILES...205 KM...SOUTHWEST OF
HAVANA CUBA.
 
IRENE HAS BEEN MOVING LITTLE DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS BUT IS
EXPECTED TO RESUME A SLOW NORTHWARD TRACK NEAR  7 MPH...11 KM/HR
THIS MORNING.  ON THIS TRACK...IRENE WILL CROSS WESTERN CUBA TODAY.
 
IRENE IS BARELY A HURRICANE AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 
75 MPH...120 KM/HR...IN A VERY SMALL AREA NEAR THE CENTER WITH
HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES... 30 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 115 MILES...185 KM.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  995 MB...29.38 INCHES.
 
HEAVY RAINS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...ARE
EXPECTED ALONG THE PATH OF IRENE. 
 
REPEATING THE 8 AM EDT POSITION...21.6 N... 83.5 W.  MOVEMENT...
NEARLY STATIONARY...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE... 995 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER 
AT 11 AM EDT.
 
AVILA

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