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HURRICANE IRENE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  10A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 PM EDT FRI OCT 15 1999
 
...IRENE APPROACHING THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COAST...TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS...WITH GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE...SPREADING THROUGH DADE
AND BROWARD COUNTY...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH OF FLORIDA CITY
AROUND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TO THE ANCLOTE KEYS...INCLUDING ALL OF
THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE DRY TORTUGAS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM
FLORIDA CITY TO SOUTH OF FLAGLER BEACH ON THE FLORIDA EAST COAST AND
FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST
FROM NORTH OF THE ANCLOTE KEYS TO YANKEETOWN.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BIMINI...GRAND
BAHAMA...AND THE ABACO ISLANDS.
 
INTERESTS IN THE REMAINDER OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD CONTINUE
TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IRENE.
 
AT 2 PM EDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRENE WAS LOCATED BY
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT NEAR LATITUDE 25.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  81.3
WEST...OR ABOUT 25 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF FLAMINGO FLORIDA.
 
IRENE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHEAST NEAR  10 MPH...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  ON
THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF IRENE WILL REACH THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA
COAST WITHIN THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  75 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ONLY
A SMALL INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS LIKELY PRIOR TO LANDFALL.  A GUST TO
77 MPH WAS RECENTLY REPORTED AT HOMESTEAD.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  45 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES.  
 
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS  982 MB...29.00 INCHES.
 
A STORM SURGE OF 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS EXPECTED IN
THE WARNING AREA OF SOUTHWEST FLORIDA...AND 2 TO 4 FEET IN THE
FLORIDA KEYS AND FLORIDA BAY.  THERE ARE REPORTS THAT HIGHWAY U.S.1
ON LOWER MATECUMBE KEY IS UNDER WATER.

ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS...ARE ASSOCIATED WITH IRENE.

THERE IS A RISK OF ISOLATED TORNADOES OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA
AND THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY. 
 
REPEATING THE 2 PM EDT POSITION...25.1 N... 81.3 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NORTHEAST NEAR  10 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 75 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 982 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 5 PM EDT.
 
FRANKLIN
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
 
 
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